I think Chriss and Bender haven't shown enough improvement to warrant more optimism.n4th4n wrote: ↑Tue Jul 03, 2018 7:29 amSo you are essentially expecting no improvement from any of our young players.Wormwood wrote: ↑Tue Jul 03, 2018 6:06 amI'm calling 32 wins. Ayton and Booker play no defense. Jackson can't space the floor. Ariza is a 34% 3 point shooter, who will be playing out of position. Knight is... well... awful. SO are all our real PFs. We just have too many holes in our roster full of bad players, and the few really good ones we have on offense are defensive liabilities.
We have to pay Booker, but I think we may end up regretting it if his defense doesn't improve.
I don't think Ariza helps us at all, anywhere really.
I wonder where the hell Bridges or Jackson will find minutes with the other 3 SFs we have that we're paying 35 million for.
Jackson will get better, but he's unlikely to become a great 3 point shooter, which is what we desperately need. (His FT% says it's unlikely, they're highly correlated)
I don't think Booker will suddenly be an ace on defense.
I think Ayton's awful defense will be exacerbated by being a rookie. He's going to have a hard time helping us on the court as a rookies (seriously, Kevin Durant was a net -8.8 points per 48 in his first year)
I don't believe that Knight is a big improvement over the flotsam and jetsam we had at PG last year.
So, Jackson will be a little better, but he's not going to help on offense. Ayton will need a year before he's a net positive. Bridges will have little impact with 4 other SFs on the team. Bender and Chriss have both been awful in their first two seasons. Bender shows negligible improvement, and Chriss regressed if anything this year.