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2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sat Apr 08, 2017 5:32 pm
by Superbone
When: Tuesday, May 16th
Time: 5:00 pm AZ (5:00 pm PT / 8:00 pm ET)
Place: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York
TV: ESPN

Here's a place to discuss the NBA draft lottery which will take place on May 16th. I mostly wanted a place to talk about possible results based on the cool website that In2 turned us on to:

http://www.tankathon.com/

We're currently second worst in the league but that could still change for the worse. My biggest scare is that even if we stay second, we get knocked back to 4th. I saw that too many times when simming the lottery on this site. The worst sim I saw was the Lakers getting the number one and us getting knocked back to 5th!

And then my favorite sim:

Image

Image

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sat Apr 08, 2017 5:37 pm
by Split T
Did 10 quick sims

#1 pick twice
#2 pick thrice
#3 pick twice
#4 pick twice
#5 pick once

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sat Apr 08, 2017 5:48 pm
by Superbone
Suns (23-57) remaining games:
vs Mavs
@ Kings

Lakers (24-55) remaining games:
vs TWolves
vs Pelicans
@ Warriors

If we were to win out, the Lakers would need to win one to tie us. If we lose one, the best the Lakers could do would be to tie us.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sat Apr 08, 2017 8:56 pm
by Aztec Sunsfan
My favorite outcome have us winning either 1st or 2nd, with Orl or NY getting the other one, then Brooklyn or whatever, so LA lands 4th, giving Philly the 4th and 5th. I'm not dealing our pick, but with Philly having TWO top five picks and still out of the Ball/Fultz sweepstakes, given how desperately they need a new PG, they could be open to make a deal around one of their picks and Bledsoe.

The key is to have another PG-starving team climbing with us in the top 2, so there is no doubt Ball and Fultz will be out of the board. But if Boston is there, they could easily swap with Philly because having Thomas is really working for them right now, and could walk away with Jackson or Tatum, and a pound of flesh from Philly.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 3:00 am
by Ring_Wanted
Aztec, first time I've ran it today, the top5 went BRY-PHX-ORL-PHI-PHI.

BTW Sups, it was In2 who recently brought up the site.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 3:17 am
by Superbone
Ring_Wanted wrote:BTW Sups, it was In2 who recently brought up the site.
My bad. OP corrected.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 7:46 am
by England Sun
I had to stop doing it.
Out of 20 times we ended up picking 4th on 13!!!!! Occasions!!
Picked 1st twice,
Picked 2nd twice,
Picked 3rd none!
Picked 4th 13!!
Picked 5th 3 times.

Don't like that website, or the odds.

The Lakers finished 1st on half of the occasions.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 9:18 am
by Mori Chu
I ran that web site several times and was frightened by how frequently I seemed to come up with the #4 pick. Pleeeeease basketball gods, give us a top-2 pick!

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 12:44 pm
by Superbone
You guys are right. 4 comes up far too often. I think I'm just going to resign myself to 4 and hope to be pleasantly surprised.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 1:56 pm
by In2ition
Seriously, it's crazy how often 4 comes up for the Suns. And it feels like the Lakers get into the top 3 way more than normal.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 2:18 pm
by England Sun
So....Tatum anyone?

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 2:33 pm
by Split T
Well 4 is the most likely spot for us. I think we've got about a 33% chance at being 4th.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 3:01 pm
by In2ition
I tried the lottery generator on ESPN and the Lakers won the lottery 5 times and #2 twice out of 10 tries.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 5:59 pm
by Flagrant Fowl
In2ition wrote:I tried the lottery generator on ESPN and the Lakers won the lottery 5 times and #2 twice out of 10 tries.
Because even ESPN knows the lottery is rigged.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 6:35 pm
by TOO
England Sun wrote:So....Tatum anyone?
Yes please.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 6:47 pm
by Superbone
Whelp. We need to root for the Lakers against the TWolves tonight.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 7:09 pm
by TOO
Not rooting for the Lakers to win, just rooting for the Wolves to lose. Thats a thing right?

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 8:22 pm
by Superbone
TheOriginalOriginal wrote:Not rooting for the Lakers to win, just rooting for the Wolves to lose. Thats a thing right?
Yup. 1 point game with 9 minutes left.

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 8:51 pm
by In2ition
Did the Wolves just lose?

Re: 2017 NBA Draft Lottery

Posted: Sun Apr 09, 2017 8:52 pm
by Cap
Yup.