Suns Record Predictions

Discussion of the league and of our favorite team.

How many games will the Suns win (assuming 72 games are played)?

>60
2
6%
60
0
No votes
59
0
No votes
58
0
No votes
57
0
No votes
56
2
6%
55 (beats our best win % ever)
1
3%
54
1
3%
53
0
No votes
52
1
3%
51
0
No votes
50
4
11%
49
0
No votes
48
4
11%
47
3
9%
46
5
14%
45
2
6%
44
3
9%
43
0
No votes
42 (matches best win % of last 10 years)
2
6%
41
3
9%
40
1
3%
39
1
3%
38
0
No votes
37 (means we finally have a winning season)
0
No votes
36
0
No votes
35 (just beats last year's win %)
0
No votes
30-34
0
No votes
<30
0
No votes
 
Total votes: 35

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Superbone
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Superbone »

Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 2:28 pm
Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 1:12 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 1:00 pm
JeremyG wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 11:24 am
We actually tied our record of 62 wins during 7SOL, so 55 wins would be needed to beat that percentage.
Yeah, that was my bad when setting up the poll. I can't edit it.
Looks right to me.
Thanks Sup!
:D No worries.
"Be Legendary."

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Nodack
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Nodack »

It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.

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Indy
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Indy »

Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.

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Superbone
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Superbone »

Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:50 pm
Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.
What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
"Be Legendary."

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Indy
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Indy »

Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:01 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:50 pm
Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.
What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
I think we are all wildly optimistic.

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Aztec Sunsfan
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Aztec Sunsfan »

Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:02 pm
Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:01 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:50 pm
Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.
What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
I think we are all wildly optimistic.
It’s that part of the year, so let’s enjoy it a little. Real games can bring real expectations but as today, we are still undefeated

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Cap
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Cap »

Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:02 pm
Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:01 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:50 pm
Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.
What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
I think we are all wildly optimistic.
Vegas over-under is 38.5. I voted 50. And I’m the one always pitching “If you’re smarter than the betting markets, why aren’t you making money off them?”

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virtual9mm
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by virtual9mm »

Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:02 pm
Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:01 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:50 pm
Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.
What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
I think we are all wildly optimistic.
I think we're looking at the equivalent of a 50 win season in a normal year. Impossible to provide a point estimate but something along the lines of 44 wins this year. Maybe a bit higher but this team just isn't as good as 1993 with KJ/Barkley/Majerle or 2004 to kick off 7SOL with a pre-microsurgery Amare. Not unless Ayton starts averaging 27 ppg 15 rpg 3 bpg on 8 FTA per game. If that happens, I'll say 50 games THIS year.

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Nodack
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Nodack »

Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:01 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:50 pm
Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.
What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
And you were being very optimistic.

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Superbone
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Location: San Diego, CA (Phoenix Native)

Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Superbone »

Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 11:21 pm
Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:01 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:50 pm
Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.
What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
And you were being very optimistic.
I was right. Easily.
"Be Legendary."

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Indy
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Indy »

Cap wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:05 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:02 pm
Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:01 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:50 pm
Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.
What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
I think we are all wildly optimistic.
Vegas over-under is 38.5. I voted 50. And I’m the one always pitching “If you’re smarter than the betting markets, why aren’t you making money off them?”
I went with 56! I don't know what came over me, because typically I would be saying a 25% improvement year over year seems about right, and that puts us around 42.

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O_Gardino
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Location: Shreveport, LA

Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by O_Gardino »

Cap wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:05 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:02 pm
Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:01 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:50 pm
Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.
What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
I think we are all wildly optimistic.
Vegas over-under is 38.5. I voted 50. And I’m the one always pitching “If you’re smarter than the betting markets, why aren’t you making money off them?”
Vegas thinks we will improve by 4 or 5 games? They must think Chris Paul is going to be injured a LOT.
The league needs heroes, villains... and clowns. -- Aztec Sunsfan

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Indy
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Indy »

O_Gardino wrote:
Tue Dec 08, 2020 7:48 am
Cap wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:05 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:02 pm
Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:01 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:50 pm


Yeah, as of right now over 50% of the people that voted think it will be in that range.
What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
I think we are all wildly optimistic.
Vegas over-under is 38.5. I voted 50. And I’m the one always pitching “If you’re smarter than the betting markets, why aren’t you making money off them?”
Vegas thinks we will improve by 4 or 5 games? They must think Chris Paul is going to be injured a LOT.
That is a more than 10% improvement year-over-year. I am curious how often a team improves by more than that without signing/acquiring a top 5 MVP vote getter.

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LazarusLong
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by LazarusLong »

I'm saying 42. The West is still very strong.
Although NBA now has a 72-game season, it's compact, with many back-to-backs.
The team is deep and fairly talented.
The test will be Monty's ability to mix/match lineups and rest key players.
Window is open again ... blue skies ahead?

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jonh
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by jonh »

LazarusLong wrote:
Tue Dec 08, 2020 8:24 am
I'm saying 42. The West is still very strong.
Although NBA now has a 72-game season, it's compact, with many back-to-backs.
The team is deep and fairly talented.
The test will be Monty's ability to mix/match lineups and rest key players.
Looks like a good year to have a lot of depth at the guard position.

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Indy
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Indy »

jonh wrote:
Tue Dec 08, 2020 8:55 am
LazarusLong wrote:
Tue Dec 08, 2020 8:24 am
I'm saying 42. The West is still very strong.
Although NBA now has a 72-game season, it's compact, with many back-to-backs.
The team is deep and fairly talented.
The test will be Monty's ability to mix/match lineups and rest key players.
Looks like a good year to have a lot of depth at the guard position.
Yep. And I think someone said the 10 games we dropped were all Western Conference teams, so hopefully they helps our record, too.

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ShelC
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by ShelC »

LazarusLong wrote:
Tue Dec 08, 2020 8:24 am
I'm saying 42. The West is still very strong.
Although NBA now has a 72-game season, it's compact, with many back-to-backs.
The team is deep and fairly talented.
The test will be Monty's ability to mix/match lineups and rest key players.
It's a good problem for Monty to have, but one he'll have to figure out quickly regarding the guard rotation.

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Mori Chu
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Mori Chu »

Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
I voted 46. Although I actually forgot that there are fewer than 82 games, so I may have put down a lower number if I had already had my coffee before voting. I think if I'd remembered that it was a 72 game season, I would have voted for around 41 wins.

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Superbone
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Superbone »

Indy wrote:
Tue Dec 08, 2020 8:11 am
O_Gardino wrote:
Tue Dec 08, 2020 7:48 am
Cap wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:05 pm
Indy wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:02 pm
Superbone wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:01 pm


What a difference a year makes! Remember my bet last year for over 30 for a full 82 game season?
I think we are all wildly optimistic.
Vegas over-under is 38.5. I voted 50. And I’m the one always pitching “If you’re smarter than the betting markets, why aren’t you making money off them?”
Vegas thinks we will improve by 4 or 5 games? They must think Chris Paul is going to be injured a LOT.
That is a more than 10% improvement year-over-year. I am curious how often a team improves by more than that without signing/acquiring a top 5 MVP vote getter.
Look at Suns history then. There are examples.
"Be Legendary."

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Superbone
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Re: Suns Record Predictions

Post by Superbone »

Mori Chu wrote:
Tue Dec 08, 2020 10:20 am
Nodack wrote:
Mon Dec 07, 2020 8:30 pm
It looks like the 46-50 range is getting the most hits.
I voted 46. Although I actually forgot that there are fewer than 82 games, so I may have put down a lower number if I had already had my coffee before voting. I think if I'd remembered that it was a 72 game season, I would have voted for around 41 wins.
I think you'll be better off where you are.
"Be Legendary."

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