Yeah. Even if Kamala wins, knowing that so many people here actively want Trump and Trumpism makes me sad for our country.
When I break it down…. I can deal with having political differences but what is the saddest past is our inability to talk and work things out respectfully. The vitriol and hate is just not needed and doesn’t get anything done. Constant tit for tat. With trump I feel like he prefers to say the most bombastic crap because he knows any free press is good press for him. He turned his indictments and convictions into “lawfare” which is constantly used by his base and to his base he could never do anything wrong. He’s a saint.
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Sat Jul 27, 2024 11:40 am
by Nodack
Fast forward to November. He’s going to lose and he’s going to say it was all fake and fraudulent. He will in code of course call for his base to turn violent. Some will and they will be put in jail. They will say Kamala is the worst President in the history of the US and it won’t matter. Democracy was saved and Trump has to worry about staying out of jail.
Putin will be even more bummed than Trump because under Trump Putin will be given the green light to conquer Ukraine without US support. Under Kamala Ukraine will get much support along with a United UN and Putin certainly won’t like that.
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Sat Jul 27, 2024 11:52 am
by Kryptonic
You know the unfortunate part? If there was ever some mass election fraud that did over turn an election no one will believe it because of the shenanigans last time.
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Sat Jul 27, 2024 11:54 am
by Nodack
The boy who cried wolf
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Mon Jul 29, 2024 7:22 am
by Mori Chu
RFK has figured out to become popular and win the race! He's changing his running mate to the Hawk Tuah girl. /s
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Mon Jul 29, 2024 2:22 pm
by Mori Chu
Another new poll.
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Mon Jul 29, 2024 7:32 pm
by Mori Chu
Terrifying article from Marc Elias about everything Republicans are going to make it easier to challenge election results this November.
Fast forward to November. He’s going to lose and he’s going to say it was all fake and fraudulent. He will in code of course call for his base to turn violent. Some will and they will be put in jail. They will say Kamala is the worst President in the history of the US and it won’t matter. Democracy was saved and Trump has to worry about staying out of jail.
Putin will be even more bummed than Trump because under Trump Putin will be given the green light to conquer Ukraine without US support. Under Kamala Ukraine will get much support along with a United UN and Putin certainly won’t like that.
Starting to look this way, still kind of a dark future but far less dark than one where Trump ends free and fair elections once and for all. More like bright skies with a few nasty, towering, dark thunderstorms.
Looks about right to me. The past 10 days have been among the craziest in recent political memory, with the initial rise of Trump and Jan 6th being the only ones higher on my list. Perfect execution from one side, blunders galore on the other. Kamala can't possibly keep this up but has the VP pick and convention bounce to help her out still. By the end of all of this, I can see Kamala +5.
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Mon Jul 29, 2024 11:24 pm
by Mori Chu
Jon Stewart weighs in on the attempted attacks on Kamala. Enjoyable as always.
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2024 11:29 am
by Mori Chu
A new Pennsylvania poll has Kamala at +4. This is big news for her. But, it seems to have a small sample size, isn't one of the biggest pollsters, etc. Standard disclaimer. I know that PA is one of the most important "tipping point" states to get to 270 EVs for both candidates.
Small sample in each state but if results hold up...wow. And aggregated, they are all trending in the same direction.
The Michigan and Pennsylvania results look like outliers.
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Tue Jul 30, 2024 3:54 pm
by Mori Chu
Yeah that MI result looks too high, and the PA result looks too low. But the trend lines are all going way up for the blue lines.
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2024 10:13 am
by Mori Chu
Nate Silver currently rates the 2024 race as a "toss-up." Too early for Dems to celebrate, but, it's nothing short of a miracle given where Biden was just a few weeks ago.
Re: 2024 Electionon
Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2024 10:21 am
by Cap
Today for the first time, Harris is ahead of Trump on PredictIt.
Market is kinda weird right now. You can buy a No on Harris for 47¢ and a No on Trump for 51¢, so you can buy both for 98¢ and get back a dollar. Of course, all that gets you is 2% interest for the next three months, so it’s not a very exciting investment.
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2024 10:23 am
by Nodack
Thank you Trump for being you….
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2024 10:27 am
by Cap
Hey, while Harris is leading Trump 54-50 on PredictIt, Trump is leading 54-44 on Polymarket. Maybe an arbitrage opportunity.
Buy No Harris on PredctIt for 47¢ and No Trump on Polymarket also for 47¢. Total 94¢. 6% in three months is pretty good!
Re: 2024 Election
Posted: Thu Aug 01, 2024 10:43 am
by Mori Chu
You'll lose all your money in November when RFK wins, though!