You're assuming KD can both stay healthy and not start declining due to age.AmareIsGod wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:19 pmAs long as CP3 is on the roster, you'll be rolling those dice. If we're going to keep CP3, I'd rather roll with KD and Booker for our big 3 instead of riding and hoping CP3 can stay healthy enough come playoffs to carry a similar roster to last season to a championship. I think those odds are worse than rolling with KD.JeremyG wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:13 pmThe former. Mainly due to age/health.AmareIsGod wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:10 pmYou think KD, Paul and Booker have a 5% chance at winning a championship together? Or a 5% chance we can get KD?
Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
"I'm a Deandre Ayton guy."--Al McCoy, September 21, 2022.
Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
I’d say at most there is 12 teams with any semblance of a chance at the title each year. So that makes it like 8.5% on average, with 4 or 5 of those teams combining for like 5% total.Indy wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:19 pmIf the odds were flat, each team has a 3.33% chance. We know the odds are not flat, so a few teams have way higher and a few way less, with the average in the middle. There is a reason the betting sites shifted drastically when they heard KD preferred Phoenix. It isn't like we are at 20% or anything, but it is way higher with 3 all-nba players.JeremyG wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:13 pmThe former. Mainly due to age/health.AmareIsGod wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:10 pmYou think KD, Paul and Booker have a 5% chance at winning a championship together? Or a 5% chance we can get KD?
So final 8 teams have like 95% let’s say. I’d give the top 4 like 75% and the bottom 4 20%.
So it’s probably something like
1. 25%
2. 20%
3. 15%
4 15 %
5-8. 5%
9-12. 1%
13-30 1 % combined.
Certainly the numbers shift around, but KD to the suns certainly puts us in one of those top 4 spots at worst.
Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
Free Agency starts in 1 hour correct?
- Aztec Sunsfan
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
Assuming is part of every decision, as in, you are assuming that Ayton is going to be better if the team increases his touches and features him, blowing awya his value versus his contract, most people don’t, therefore, you are the only one (and his agent) willing to give him the supermax.JeremyG wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:26 pmYou're assuming KD can both stay healthy and not start declining due to age.AmareIsGod wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:19 pmAs long as CP3 is on the roster, you'll be rolling those dice. If we're going to keep CP3, I'd rather roll with KD and Booker for our big 3 instead of riding and hoping CP3 can stay healthy enough come playoffs to carry a similar roster to last season to a championship. I think those odds are worse than rolling with KD.JeremyG wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:13 pmThe former. Mainly due to age/health.AmareIsGod wrote: ↑Thu Jun 30, 2022 1:10 pmYou think KD, Paul and Booker have a 5% chance at winning a championship together? Or a 5% chance we can get KD?
A healthy KD assumption is moving the entire league, so PROBABLY it’s not a bad one.
Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
It would be very phx-suns.net if we acquired KD and the news broke in page 37 of the "Suns 2020s Offseasons Thread".
Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
Dallas should absolutely trade for Kyrie…assuming it doesn’t take much. Kyrie is perfect next to Luka.
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
SUNS Fan from the Land of Sun, Sea and Sand 

- Flagrant Fowl
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
This is exactly what I was thinking two days ago.
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
Pretty sure the Knicks haven't been allowed to even talk to him yet, right? According to the CBA? Tampering?
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
Gambo says that teams have told him that most teams start to feel comfortable engaging in illegal tampering 24-36 hours before legal tampering begins.
"I'm a Deandre Ayton guy."--Al McCoy, September 21, 2022.
Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
ESPN really talking about the lakers getting both KD and Kyrie…like somehow AD, Westbrook and 2 1sts beats our offer? Lol
Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
It’s especially true now that Brunson is gone
- Flagrant Fowl
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
They have to meet their Lakers airtime quota.
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- Flagrant Fowl
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
I had a feeling... I was just too gutless to change the grammar.Flagrant Fowl wrote: ↑Wed Jun 29, 2022 4:46 pmNBA media would meltdown if the Nets traded KD before Kyrie.
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- Flagrant Fowl
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
Because they're not trading Booker for him, losing Mikal is the only thing that could kinda bum me out.
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
I have no idea why Brooklyn would make that deal. O'Neale is a decent role player but a first rounder for him?! That's insane. Detroit got Nerleans Noel, Kemba Walker, and Alec Burks from NY without giving up a single 1st rounder. I'd take all of those players over O'Neale's 7 ppg in 30 mpg.
- Flagrant Fowl
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
Oof.
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Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
Ya I still think something else must be at play there…Royce O’Neale returning a 1st is crazy
Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
If that injury is going to happen, at least the timing is good.
“Are you crazy?! You think I’m going to go for seven years and try to get there? You enjoy the 2030 draft picks that we have holding? I want to try to see the game today.” — Ish 3/13/25
Re: Around the League News - 2022 Offseason Edition
Well I think you have to consider that
1) Brooklyn really wants Irving gone.
2) Anthony Davis is better than anything the Suns have to offer. Remember, this is the same franchise that traded for Ben Simmons. I think they would be perfectly fine with AD's injury issues.