NBA Over/Under Wins Competition

[JeremyG]

Yeah, I've seen that "top-heavy" criticism a bunch about this year's Suns team. I really don't get that. We have like 17 guys who all should be in NBA rotations. If anything we're too deep. I think health concerns are fair, but isn't that an issue for any team?

We are definitely top heavy, but we’re not thin on depth. I think compared to other contenders we might be a little weaker in the 4th/5th starter position, but I’d take our bench over any other contender.

Nurkic/Okogie is probably our 4/5 and I think you definitely take Denver or Boston’s 4/5:

AG/KCP
KP/White

Lopez is probably better than anyone not in our top 3, but Milwaukee doesn’t really have a 5th starter.

Lakers 4th and 5th are probably DLo and Prince? Meh. Warriors are CP3 and Klay? Another meh. Boston, Denver, and Milwaukee are the only teams that can beat us if we’re healthy, imo.

Wait what? Which 3 players do you have ahead of CP3 and Klay?

[Split T]

Curry, Draymond, and Wiggins

[JeremyG]

Curry, Draymond, and Wiggins

I mean I get that Klay has lost a step, but I would still probably put him ahead of Wiggins and certainly ahead of Draymond. We'll have to see how they play this season, but I might even put Paul ahead of Draymond--he's getting old too.

[Superbone]

I haven't been paying attention. Will Paul be starting for the Warriors?

[Split T]

Curry, Draymond, and Wiggins

I mean I get that Klay has lost a step, but I would still probably put him ahead of Wiggins and certainly ahead of Draymond. We'll have to see how they play this season, but I might even put Paul ahead of Draymond--he's getting old too.

Not for me. I don’t think Klay is very good. There’s no chance he’s ahead of Wiggins. Draymond you could make an argument for because of the poor offense, but he’s so good defensively still and does play an important role as a playmaker.

I’ve never been a Klay fan and now that he’s not good on defense, his value is pretty low imo. He can get hot and carry them for a game, but he also has a lot of 2/10 games now.

[Split T]

I haven't been paying attention. Will Paul be starting for the Warriors?

He started some with Draymond out, but he also came off the bench…we’ll see I guess.

[Superbone]

I haven't been paying attention. Will Paul be starting for the Warriors?

He started some with Draymond out, but he also came off the bench…we’ll see I guess.

Yes we will. In less than 9 hours.

[Carno]

Brooklyn Nets - 37.5 - OVER
Dallas Mavericks - 43.5 - UNDER
Denver Nuggets - 52.5 - OVER ----- BEST BET
Indiana Pacers - 38.5 - OVER
Memphis Grizzlies - 45.5 - UNDER
Milwaukee Bucks - 54.5 - OVER ----- BEST BET
Oklahoma City Thunder - 44.5 - UNDER
Philadelphia 76ers - 49.5 - UNDER
Phoenix Suns - 51.5 - OVER ----- BEST BET
Portland Trail Blazers - 28.5- UNDER

[Superbone]

Brooklyn Nets - 37.5 - OVER
Dallas Mavericks - 43.5 - UNDER
Denver Nuggets - 52.5 - OVER
Indiana Pacers - 38.5 - OVER
Memphis Grizzlies - 45.5 - UNDER
Milwaukee Bucks - 54.5 - OVER
Oklahoma City Thunder - 44.5 - UNDER
Philadelphia 76ers - 49.5 - UNDER
Phoenix Suns - 51.5 - OVER
Portland Trail Blazers - 28.5- UNDER

Need your three best bets.

[Carno]

oops.... edited.

[SunsShine]

Brooklyn Nets - 37.5 - Over
Dallas Mavericks - 43.5 - Under
Denver Nuggets - 52.5 - Over
Golden State Warriors - 47.5 - Over
Memphis Grizzlies - 45.5 - Under
Milwaukee Bucks - 54.5 - Over
Oklahoma City Thunder - 44.5 - Over
Philadelphia 76ers - 49.5 - Under
Phoenix Suns - 51.5 - Over
Sacramento Kings - 44.5 - Over

I think the Thunder will surprise this season provided they can stay relatively healthy. The 76ers are already starting the season off in disarray due to the James Harden fiasco. The Suns are perhaps the safest bet if you ask me, and it appears I’m far from being alone on that one (Suns message board or not).

[SunnyOrange]

Charlotte Hornets - 31.5 (over)
Detroit Pistons - 27.5 (under)
Memphis Grizzlies - 45.5 (under)
Miami Heat - 45.5 (under)
* Milwaukee Bucks - 54.5 (over)
Oklahoma City Thunder - 44.5 (over)
Philadelphia 76ers - 49.5 (under)
* Phoenix Suns - 51.5 (over)
Sacramento Kings - 44.5 (over)
* San Antonio Spurs - 29.5 (over)

[Wally_West]

There’s gonna be some spicy takes here but here we go:

Atlanta Hawks - 81.5 - Under
Boston Celtics - 81.5 - Under
Brooklyn Nets - 81.5 - Under
Charlotte Hornets - 81.5 - Under
Chicago Bulls - 81.5 - Under
Cleveland Cavaliers - 81.5 - Under
Dallas Mavericks - 81.5 Luka being fat- Over
Denver Nuggets - 23.5 Golden Corral Trips for Jokic- Over
Detroit Pistons - 1.5 Monty Daughter marriages- …over?
Golden State Warriors - 50.8 espns/tnt dick rides - OVER
Houston Rockets - 3.5 team arrests - Under
Indiana Pacers - 38.5 I’ll be sad that we didn’t draft Haliburton- Over
Los Angeles Clippers - 46.5 - Push they will win that exact amount of games
Los Angeles Lakers - 1025 blowjobs for Austin Reeves from Laker fans - OVER
Memphis Grizzlies - 13. 5 Ja’s “Toy” Guns shown on IG live - Under
Miami Heat - 45.5 Cultures- Over
Milwaukee Bucks - 12.5 Giannis’s family members will make the the roster- Over
Minnesota Timberwolves - 44.5 KAT trades this website makes- Over
New Orleans Pelicans - 44.5 lbs of Gumbo Zion eats - OVER
New York Knicks - 44.5 times Knicks fans will be embarrassing - OVER
Oklahoma City Thunder - .5 times I’ve watch the movie Thunderstruck - Under
Orlando Magic - 36.5 Jonathan Isaac games played - Under
Philadelphia Phillies - 3.5 NLCS wins- UNDER!!! Rip bozos
Phoenix Suns - 3.5 times my wife has cheated on me with the Gorilla - hey why the fuck is this question here??? …over
Portland Trail Blazers - 3,000 Aytons Post - Yes
Sacramento Kings - 44.5 light beams - Under
San Antonio Spurs - 29.5 we remember the Alamo- Over
Toronto Raptors - 50.5 I’ll dream about Dick on the Suns - Over
Utah Jazz - 100% Karl Malone being a horrible human- Yep
Washington Wizards - 24.5 Gandalf’s “you shall not pass” shouts- Way Over

[Kryptonic]

Love it Wally

[Mori Chu]

LOL, I started reading it seriously and was like, wait a minute, ...

[Split T]

Bump in case anyone wants to check their predictions

[Mori Chu]

Boston Celtics - 55.5 - UNDER
Brooklyn Nets - 37.5 - UNDER
Charlotte Hornets - 31.5 - UNDER
Cleveland Cavaliers - 50.5 - OVER
Memphis Grizzlies - 45.5 - UNDER
Minnesota Timberwolves - 44.5 - UNDER
Oklahoma City Thunder - 44.5 - OVER
Philadelphia 76ers - 49.5 - UNDER
Phoenix Suns - 51.5 - OVER
Washington Wizards - 24.5 - UNDER

I'm already extremely wrong on my first "lock", the Timberwolves under (they are 53-23 and #1 in the West).
I'll be correct about my second lock, Philly under (they are 41-35, on pace for 44-45 wins, unable to win more than 47).
I'm also wrong about my third lock, too, the Phoenix over (we are 45-31, on pace for 49 wins, unable to win more than 51).

As for my other O/Us:
Boston under - wrong; they are 60-16 now
Brooklyn under - right! they are 30-47 now
Charlotte under - right! they are 18-58
Cleveland over - likely wrong; they are 46-31 and would have to win out to hit the over
Memphis under - right! they are 26-50 lol
OKC over - right! they are 52-24
Washington under - right! they are 15-62

So it looks like I will be 6-4 on my O/Us, and 1-2 on my locks specifically. Oops.

I never bet real money on sports, but what I've learned from fake threads like this is that I should never ever bet on my own team. I am frequently wrong about the Suns, both over and underestimating them.

[Split T]

Bucks over
Celtics over
Cavs over
Pacers over
76ers under

Pelicans under
Mavs under
Blazers under
Wolves over
Suns over


Bolded my best bets

Bucks over will be wrong
Celtics over will be right
Cavs over will likely be wrong
Pacers over will be right
76ers under will be right

Pelicans under will be wrong
Mavs under will be wrong
Blazers under will be right
Wolves over will be right
Suns over will be wrong

0-3 on my bolded(lol)
5-5 overall…so a coin flip. Good think I switched from Grizzlies over to Wolves over at the last minute or I’d have gone 4-6

[Flagrant Fowl]

Here's the finally tally. Congrats to Superbone for getting 6/10 and 2/3 of his best bets.

Superbone – 6 (2)
Mori Chu – 6 (1)
The Bobster – 6 (0)
Kryptonic – 6 (disqualified for picking 13 O/U )
SplitT – 5
Carno – 5
SunsShine – 5
SunnyOrange - 5
FlagrantFowl – 4
JeremyG – 3

[Mori Chu]

Well done, Boney!