Funny, I think all of the Clippers, Blazers, Thunder, Rockets, Grizzlies and Mavs are vulnerable and may lose ground relative to last year. The Clips have not added help aside from Brice Johnson and Diamond Stone - though that may be plenty. The Blazers exploited weakness in other western pretenders last year and don't, in my opinion, have a great roster. The Thunder lost Durant but are still strong enough to be a top-5 team. The Rockets are fielding an all-offense all-injury team. The Grizz are very thin, all their starters now have meaningful injury histories, and losing Barnes and Lee hurts (I include Lee because he was there when they were still winning games earlier in the season). The Mavs have exchanged Pachulia for Bogut and Parsons for Barnes. I also like the Nuggets and the Wolves as up-and-coming teams along with the Suns. Not a believer in the Pelicans - they didn't really address glaring weaknesses with their moves this summer, in my opinion. Davis still lacks a supporting cast.O_Gardino wrote:Houston is in. No question. They will play with a lot more energy this season. Harden may win MVP.Split T wrote:I think jazz and blazers are fairly safe playoff teams. Of the thunder keep Westbrook, they will be too. The 8th seed should be pretty wide open, but I'd give rockets and pelicans the best shot. Nuggets could surprise, especially if they land wade.SDC wrote:west power rankings
1 warriors
2 spurs
3 clippers
4 grizzlies
5 ...
out of the playoffs:
dallas, OKC
potential playoff teams:
suns, twolves, rockets, blazers, kings, jazz, pelicans
I think Minny is a year away, but I could see them giving it a nice run, maybe a 38-40 win season. I don't trust the kings at all and would be shocked if they aren't a bottom 3 team in the west. Dallas is a 35 win team. Lakers will be bad, unless they land Westbrook.
I hope we aren't in the playoffs because I think that would mean a lot of the bled/knight/Tucker/Dudley/chandler lineup. Booker, bender, Chriss, Warren, len, and ulis need to be given a lot of free reign to make mistakes.
Tier 1 - Warriors (65+ wins)
Tier 2 - Spurs and clippers (55+ wins)
Tier 3 - Jazz, Grizzlies, Blazers (48-52 wins)
Tier 4 - Thunder (45 wins)
Tier 5 - Rockets, Pelicans (40+ wins)
Tier 6 - Twolves, nuggets (37-40 wins)
Tier 7 - Mavs, suns (32-36 wins)
Tier 8 - Lakers, kings (sub 30 wins)
I think that, with the exception of the Thunder, we could have a better record than any of these teams. *Could.* I think we could make the playoffs if Warren takes the next step as a consistent scorer in the starting lineup, Knight embraces his role off the bench, and one of Archie, Bender or Chriss proves a capable contributor in limited minutes. That's a lot of ifs, but the first of these I regard as likely, provided that Warren is inserted as a starter.
Tier 1, Best in the West - Golden State and San Antonio
Tier 2, Build to Contend - Jazz
Tier 3, Experienced but Flawed - Clippers, Thunder, Grizzlies
Tier 4, Up-and-Coming - Wolves, Suns, Blazers, Nuggets
Tier 5, Flawed - Houston, New Orleans, Mavericks, Lakers
Tier 6, Dumpster Fire - Sacramento