Page 91 of 102
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Sat Apr 30, 2022 7:32 pm
by Indy
Wonder why no charges were brought…
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Mon May 02, 2022 2:34 pm
by Mori Chu
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Mon May 02, 2022 3:02 pm
by Superbone
Wow. An NYPD veteran attacking a police officer. So sad. What happened to the thin blue line?
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Mon May 02, 2022 3:06 pm
by Indy
He must be antifa.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Mon May 02, 2022 3:47 pm
by Superbone
Indy wrote: ↑Mon May 02, 2022 3:06 pm
He must be antifa.
Oh, good point. I'm sure all the bad actors were.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Tue May 03, 2022 5:24 pm
by Mori Chu
Debunking that "2000 Mules" video.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Tue May 03, 2022 5:38 pm
by Superbone
Duh.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Tue May 03, 2022 5:46 pm
by In2ition
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Tue May 03, 2022 5:49 pm
by Superbone
In2ition wrote: ↑Tue May 03, 2022 5:46 pm
You read the article?
No. I don't waste my time on conspiracy theories.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Tue May 03, 2022 5:52 pm
by In2ition
Superbone wrote: ↑Tue May 03, 2022 5:49 pm
In2ition wrote: ↑Tue May 03, 2022 5:46 pm
You read the article?
No. I don't waste my time on conspiracy theories.
LOL, then how would you know? That's so silly. The article itself could be debunked. It had some points, but then it reached hard for other points.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Fri May 06, 2022 12:23 pm
by Mori Chu
Hey, remember Ray Epps? And how he was the evil secret cause of January 6? Turns out, nah, bullshit.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:31 pm
by In2ition
Mori Chu wrote: ↑Fri May 06, 2022 12:23 pm
Hey, remember Ray Epps? And how he was the evil secret cause of January 6? Turns out, nah, bullshit.
LOL, I mean, they do have him on video provoking things. I don't know if you've seen the videos, but multiple videos on multiple days, he's advocating to go to the Capitol and then past the barriers. It's pretty damning, but sure it's all just bullshit.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Wed May 11, 2022 6:50 am
by Mori Chu
A good read debunking that ridiculous "2000 Mules" movie made by Dinesh DeDoofus:
From a Georgia political reporter, Stephen Fowler:
CLAIM: At least 2,000 “mules” were paid to illegally collect ballots and deliver them to drop boxes in key swing states ahead of the 2020 presidential election.
THE FACTS: . . . The finding is based on false assumptions about the precision of cellphone tracking data and the reasons that someone might drop off multiple ballots, according to experts. . . .
CLAIM: In Philadelphia alone, True the Vote identified 1,155 “mules” who illegally collected and dropped off ballots for money.
THE FACTS: No, it didn’t.
-they claim there were more drop boxes in metro Atlanta (309) than actually existed in the *entire* state (just under 300) -the cell phone pings of “antifa rioters” don’t really correspond to real places (like a bunch in a cemetery?)
-the “mule” route doesn’t line up w/dropboxes?
-How come they don’t ever show you videos of the alleged “mules” showing up at multiple locations like they claim to have?
-how come they don’t tell you that even if a ballot is “harvested” the return method is illegal but the ballot (assuming info checks out) is?
-how come they made you pay $30 to consume something that should be so earth-shattering that it should be shared widely for free and it’s a for-profit movie and you can’t see all the evidence they have? -and how come there’s no resolution other than “trust us, it’s bad?”
If anything they claimed was true, many more trusted people and orgs would be sharing it.
It’s not a cover up, it’s a grift, by people who want to scare you into thinking the election was stolen by widespread absentee fraud instead of more people voting for the other candidate!
I’m going back to vacation, but the bottom line is you should trust your vote in Georgia, regardless of party affiliation. It’s the most scrutinized, most accessible most trustworthy system the state has seen. And I hope you still vote!
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Wed May 11, 2022 6:51 am
by Indy
shocking
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Wed May 11, 2022 8:09 am
by In2ition
I happened to see the movie. One of the things that I have been critical of the movie, or should I say I would have liked to see more of, is that I wish they would have shown the "mules" at multiple drop-boxes with multiple ballots for each one. That being said, the silly "debunking" that Stephen Fowler just did that you took as facts, is wild that this is the best they have and you believe it. You could argue that with the pushback and the dismissive attitude to look into exactly what went on, shows that you could do it in the future and get away with it, because whoever wins is going to just dismiss any calls to look into it.
Here is the detail that I can remember.
They have over a
Petabyte of ping data that they went over.
Based on the GPS pings that happened, they were able to create tracked paths for the people from Oct-Dec.(IIRC)
They set up a GPS fence for what they were going to focus on, which had the locations of all the drop-boxes for that area in each of the swings states, and also political 501C not for profits.
To prove their own theory on how it would work, they turned their data on a cold case of a shooting in the area, in which a young girl was killed. With their work, they were able to hand over their findings to the police in the area, and it resulted in 2 men being arrested for the murder.
- Since they had so much data, they chose to focus on focus on those that visited at least 10 different drop-boxes & also visited 5 political not for profits during those same trips. This filtered it down to 2000 mules in AZ, GA, PA, WI, and MI, with them averaging about 26 drop-boxes per mule.
- In PA alone, they tracked 1100 mules, and found that many of them traveled to political Not for Profits in NJ and then to the drop-boxes.
- The 4 million minutes of surveillance video they got were from the state governments official surveillance cameras set up to monitor each drop-box.
- There were several cameras where they tracked a lot of mules to in AZ, which happened to have the cameras turned off.
- They also matched up the number of ballots picked up from the official counts and chain of custody of the drop-boxes with the visits to the drop-boxes. In one example, they had over 1,900 ballots picked up(can't remember the exact number) from the drop-box to only 242 visits tracked.
- After a news report that the FBI tracked a harvester from finger prints came out, they noticed that the tactics of the mules changed and they started wearing rubber gloves. Even showed a lady from SC that was doing this for both the election and the run offs in GA, how she went directly to the drop-box and didn't look at the trash can. After she dropped the ballots off in the drop-box, she immediately discarded the gloves into the trash can, because she knew exactly where it was. In GA, you can have your family member or caregiver take your ballot, but not to anyone else. You can't even give it to your neighbor.
- So many more things that show it wasn't just a family member taking the families ballots to the drop-boxes.
- When they lowered the criteria to 5 drop-boxes visited & 3 not for profits per mule, the number of mules increased to over 83,000 in those 5 states. They didn't even look at the entire states, just focusing on those counties and areas where they flipped and were contested.
- They even had a whistleblower from Yuma county(but they didn't actually do the data tracking and video out of Yuma county) in the movie. They didn't show the alleged whistleblower from GA that supposedly made $45K in the time from
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Wed May 11, 2022 9:12 am
by Indy
https://www.denverpost.com/2022/05/08/2 ... act-check/
CLAIM: At least 2,000 “mules” were paid to illegally collect ballots and deliver them to drop boxes in key swing states ahead of the 2020 presidential election.
THE FACTS: True the Vote didn’t prove this. The finding is based on false assumptions about the precision of cellphone tracking data and the reasons that someone might drop off multiple ballots, according to experts.
“Ballot harvesting” is a pejorative term for dropping off completed ballots for people besides yourself. The practice is legal in several states but largely illegal in the states True the Vote focused on, with some exceptions for family, household members and people with disabilities.
True the Vote has said it found some 2,000 ballot harvesters by purchasing $2 million worth of anonymized cellphone geolocation data — the “pings” that track a person’s location based on app activity — in various swing counties across five states. Then, by drawing a virtual boundary around a county’s ballot drop boxes and various unnamed nonprofits, it identified cellphones that repeatedly went near both ahead of the 2020 election.
If a cellphone went near a drop box more than 10 times and a nonprofit more than five times from Oct. 1 to Election Day, True the Vote assumed its owner was a “mule” — its name for someone engaged in an illegal ballot collection scheme in cahoots with a nonprofit.
The group’s claims of a paid ballot harvesting scheme are supported in the film only by one unidentified whistleblower said to be from San Luis, Arizona, who said she saw people picking up what she “assumed” to be payments for ballot collection. The film contains no evidence of such payments in other states in 2020.
Plus, experts say cellphone location data, even at its most advanced, can only reliably track a smartphone within a few meters — not close enough to know whether someone actually dropped off a ballot or just walked or drove nearby.
“You could use cellular evidence to say this person was in that area, but to say they were at the ballot box, you’re stretching it a lot,” said Aaron Striegel, a professor of computer science and engineering at the University of Notre Dame. “There’s always a pretty healthy amount of uncertainty that comes with this.”
What’s more, ballot drop boxes are often intentionally placed in busy areas, such as college campuses, libraries, government buildings and apartment complexes — increasing the likelihood that innocent citizens got caught in the group’s dragnet, Striegel said.
Similarly, there are plenty of legitimate reasons why someone might be visiting both a nonprofit’s office and one of those busy areas. Delivery drivers, postal workers, cab drivers, poll workers and elected officials all have legitimate reasons to cross paths with numerous drop boxes or nonprofits in a given day.
True the Vote has said it filtered out people whose “pattern of life” before the election season included frequenting nonprofit and drop box locations. But that strategy wouldn’t filter out election workers who spend more time at drop boxes during the election season, cab drivers whose daily paths don’t follow a pattern, or people whose routines recently changed.
In some states, in an attempt to bolster its claims, True the Vote also highlighted drop box surveillance footage that showed voters depositing multiple ballots into the boxes. However, there was no way to tell whether those voters were the same people as the ones whose cellphones were anonymously tracked.
A video of a voter dropping off a stack of ballots at a drop box is not itself proof of any wrongdoing, since most states have legal exceptions that let people drop off ballots on behalf of family members and household members.
For example, Larry Campbell, a voter in Michigan who was not featured in the film, told The Associated Press he legally dropped off six ballots in a local drop box in 2020 — one for himself, his wife, and his four adult children. And in Georgia, Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger’s office investigated one of the surveillance videos circulated by True the Vote and said it found the man was dropping off ballots for himself and his family.
CLAIM: In Philadelphia alone, True the Vote identified 1,155 “mules” who illegally collected and dropped off ballots for money.
THE FACTS: No, it didn’t. The group hasn’t offered any evidence of any sort of paid ballot harvesting scheme in Philadelphia. And True the Vote did not get surveillance footage of drop boxes in Philadelphia, so the group based this claim solely on cellphone location data, its researcher Gregg Phillips said in March in testimony to Pennsylvania state senators.
Pennsylvania state Sen. Sharif Street, who was there for the group’s testimony in March, told the AP he was confident he was counted as several of the group’s 1,155 anonymous “mules,” even though he didn’t deposit anything into a drop box in that time period.
Street said he based his assessment on the fact that he carries a cellphone, a watch with a cellular connection, a tablet with a cellular connection and a mobile hotspot — four devices whose locations can be tracked by private companies. He also said he typically travels with a staffer who carries two devices, bringing the total on his person to six.
During the 2020 election season, Street said, he brought those devices on trips to nonprofit offices and drop box rallies. He also drove by one drop box up to seven or eight times a day when traveling between his two political offices.
“I did no ballot stuffing, but over the course of time, I literally probably account for hundreds and hundreds of their unique visits, even though I’m a single actor in a single vehicle moving back and forth in my ordinary course of business,” Street said.
City election commission spokesman Nick Custodio said the allegations matched others that had been debunked or disproven after the 2020 election.
“The Trump campaign and others filed an unprecedented litany of cases challenging Philadelphia’s election with dubious and unsubstantiated allegations of fraud, all of which were quickly and resoundingly rejected by both state and federal courts,” Custodio said.
CLAIM: Some of the “mules” True the Vote identified in Georgia were also geolocated at violent antifa riots in Atlanta in the summer of 2020, showing they were violent far left actors.
THE FACTS: Setting aside the fact that the film doesn’t prove these individuals were collecting ballots at all, it also can’t prove their political affiliations.
The anonymized data True the Vote tracked doesn’t explain why someone might have been present at a protest demanding justice for Black deaths at the hands of police officers. The individuals who were tracked there could have been violent rioters, but they also could have been peaceful protesters, police or firefighters responding to the protests, or business owners in the area.
CLAIM: Alleged ballot harvesters were captured on surveillance video wearing gloves because they didn’t want to leave their fingerprints on the ballots.
THE FACTS: This is pure speculation. It ignores far more likely reasons for glove-wearing in the fall and winter of 2020 — cold weather or COVID-19.
True the Vote’s researcher claimed in the movie that voters in Georgia started wearing gloves to prevent their fingerprints from touching ballot envelopes after two women in Yuma, Arizona, were indicted on Dec. 23, 2020 for alleged ballot harvesting in that state’s primary election. But the Arizona indictment didn’t mention anything about fingerprints.
Voting in Georgia’s Jan. 5, 2021, Senate runoff election occurred during some of the coldest weeks of the year in the state, and when COVID-19 was surging.
In fact, the AP in 2020 documented multipleexamples of COVID-cautious voters wearing latex gloves and other personal protective equipment to vote.
In a similarly speculative allegation, the film claims its supposed “mules” took photographs of ballots before they dropped them into drop boxes in order to get paid. But across the U.S., voters frequently take photos of their ballot envelopes before submitting them.
CLAIM: If it weren’t for this ballot collection scheme, former President Donald Trump would have had enough votes to win the 2020 election.
THE FACTS: This alleged scheme has not been proven, nor do these researchers have any way of knowing whether any ballots that were collected contained votes for Trump or for Biden.
There’s no evidence a massive ballot harvesting scheme dumped a large amount of votes for one candidate into drop boxes, and if there were, it would likely be caught quickly, according to Derek Muller, a law professor at the University of Iowa.
“Once you get just a few people involved, people start to reveal the scheme because it unravels pretty quickly,” he said.
Absentee ballots are also verified by signature and tracked closely, often with an option for voters themselves to see where their ballot is at any given time. That process safeguards against anyone who tries to illegally cast extra ballots, according to Barry Burden, a University of Wisconsin-Madison political science professor and the director of the Elections Research Project.
“It seems impossible in that system for a nefarious actor to dump lots of ballots that were never requested by voters and were never issued by election officials,” Burden said.
This is part of AP’s effort to address widely shared misinformation, including work with outside companies and organizations to add factual context to misleading content that is circulating online. Learn more about fact-checking at AP.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Wed May 11, 2022 9:20 am
by Superbone
You're too much believing this crap, In2.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Wed May 11, 2022 9:54 am
by In2ition
Indy wrote: ↑Wed May 11, 2022 9:12 am
https://www.denverpost.com/2022/05/08/2 ... act-check/
CLAIM: At least 2,000 “mules” were paid to illegally collect ballots and deliver them to drop boxes in key swing states ahead of the 2020 presidential election.
THE FACTS: True the Vote didn’t prove this. The finding is based on false assumptions about the precision of cellphone tracking data and the reasons that someone might drop off multiple ballots, according to experts.
“Ballot harvesting” is a pejorative term for dropping off completed ballots for people besides yourself. The practice is legal in several states but largely illegal in the states True the Vote focused on, with some exceptions for family, household members and people with disabilities.
True the Vote has said it found some 2,000 ballot harvesters by purchasing $2 million worth of anonymized cellphone geolocation data — the “pings” that track a person’s location based on app activity — in various swing counties across five states. Then, by drawing a virtual boundary around a county’s ballot drop boxes and various unnamed nonprofits, it identified cellphones that repeatedly went near both ahead of the 2020 election.
If a cellphone went near a drop box more than 10 times and a nonprofit more than five times from Oct. 1 to Election Day, True the Vote assumed its owner was a “mule” — its name for someone engaged in an illegal ballot collection scheme in cahoots with a nonprofit.
The group’s claims of a paid ballot harvesting scheme are supported in the film only by one unidentified whistleblower said to be from San Luis, Arizona, who said she saw people picking up what she “assumed” to be payments for ballot collection. The film contains no evidence of such payments in other states in 2020.
Plus, experts say cellphone location data, even at its most advanced, can only reliably track a smartphone within a few meters — not close enough to know whether someone actually dropped off a ballot or just walked or drove nearby.
“You could use cellular evidence to say this person was in that area, but to say they were at the ballot box, you’re stretching it a lot,” said Aaron Striegel, a professor of computer science and engineering at the University of Notre Dame. “There’s always a pretty healthy amount of uncertainty that comes with this.”
What’s more, ballot drop boxes are often intentionally placed in busy areas, such as college campuses, libraries, government buildings and apartment complexes — increasing the likelihood that innocent citizens got caught in the group’s dragnet, Striegel said.
Similarly, there are plenty of legitimate reasons why someone might be visiting both a nonprofit’s office and one of those busy areas. Delivery drivers, postal workers, cab drivers, poll workers and elected officials all have legitimate reasons to cross paths with numerous drop boxes or nonprofits in a given day.
True the Vote has said it filtered out people whose “pattern of life” before the election season included frequenting nonprofit and drop box locations. But that strategy wouldn’t filter out election workers who spend more time at drop boxes during the election season, cab drivers whose daily paths don’t follow a pattern, or people whose routines recently changed.
In some states, in an attempt to bolster its claims, True the Vote also highlighted drop box surveillance footage that showed voters depositing multiple ballots into the boxes. However, there was no way to tell whether those voters were the same people as the ones whose cellphones were anonymously tracked.
A video of a voter dropping off a stack of ballots at a drop box is not itself proof of any wrongdoing, since most states have legal exceptions that let people drop off ballots on behalf of family members and household members.
For example, Larry Campbell, a voter in Michigan who was not featured in the film, told The Associated Press he legally dropped off six ballots in a local drop box in 2020 — one for himself, his wife, and his four adult children. And in Georgia, Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger’s office investigated one of the surveillance videos circulated by True the Vote and said it found the man was dropping off ballots for himself and his family.
To help understand this, TTV used the criteria of at least 10 drop-box visited & 5 nonprofit's visited. Like this shows, they filtered out people whose "pattern of life" before the election season included frequenting nonprofit and drop box locations. The pings aren't like what they are trying to describe. Are they accurate within inches of drop-boxes? No But they are within 5 ft of the drop-box accurate, and when you can match it up with video evidence, you are EXACTLY accurate. Problem is that it's not shown in the movie that they do this for every visit. They claim they have this, but didn't show it, and this is the biggest hole in the evidence, imo.
If a voter is dropping off multiple ballots from their family members, it wouldn't lump them in with the ones they tracked, as they wouldn't be visiting 10 drop-boxes & 5 nonprofit visits. So that becomes an argument that they didn't make, meaning they didn't claim this particular voter was a mule. If TTV is giving video evidence of particular "mules", they also have to produce evidence that they did the same at other drop-boxes, not just pings, unless they can prove that this person also wasn't in "pattern of life" and/or went "out of their way" to visit these drop-boxes.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Wed May 11, 2022 10:00 am
by In2ition
Indy wrote: ↑Wed May 11, 2022 9:12 am
https://www.denverpost.com/2022/05/08/2 ... act-check/
CLAIM: In Philadelphia alone, True the Vote identified 1,155 “mules” who illegally collected and dropped off ballots for money.
THE FACTS: No, it didn’t. The group hasn’t offered any evidence of any sort of paid ballot harvesting scheme in Philadelphia. And True the Vote did not get surveillance footage of drop boxes in Philadelphia, so the group based this claim solely on cellphone location data, its researcher Gregg Phillips said in March in testimony to Pennsylvania state senators.
Pennsylvania state Sen. Sharif Street, who was there for the group’s testimony in March, told the AP he was confident he was counted as several of the group’s 1,155 anonymous “mules,” even though he didn’t deposit anything into a drop box in that time period.
Street said he based his assessment on the fact that he carries a cellphone, a watch with a cellular connection, a tablet with a cellular connection and a mobile hotspot — four devices whose locations can be tracked by private companies. He also said he typically travels with a staffer who carries two devices, bringing the total on his person to six.
During the 2020 election season, Street said, he brought those devices on trips to nonprofit offices and drop box rallies. He also drove by one drop box up to seven or eight times a day when traveling between his two political offices.
“I did no ballot stuffing, but over the course of time, I literally probably account for hundreds and hundreds of their unique visits, even though I’m a single actor in a single vehicle moving back and forth in my ordinary course of business,” Street said.
City election commission spokesman Nick Custodio said the allegations matched others that had been debunked or disproven after the 2020 election.
“The Trump campaign and others filed an unprecedented litany of cases challenging Philadelphia’s election with dubious and unsubstantiated allegations of fraud, all of which were quickly and resoundingly rejected by both state and federal courts,” Custodio said.
So these 6 devices would be eliminated from the counts. That means that there are still 1,149 "mules", and that's even if that person and their devices were inaccurately counted with the others. Also, you would have to back up and solidify the pings with the video evidence of dropping the ballots off in the drop-boxes. Therefore, you would obviously leave them out of the counts, as they didn't drop ballots off. On top of that, you would have to have more evidence of being paid to do this. They didn't have video evidence on the nonprofits to show the exchange of money or the handing off of the ballots. That's harder to prove without whistleblowers or those that would turn state evidence.
Re: 2020 Election Thread
Posted: Wed May 11, 2022 10:17 am
by In2ition
Indy wrote: ↑Wed May 11, 2022 9:12 am
https://www.denverpost.com/2022/05/08/2 ... act-check/
CLAIM: Alleged ballot harvesters were captured on surveillance video wearing gloves because they didn’t want to leave their fingerprints on the ballots.
THE FACTS: This is pure speculation. It ignores far more likely reasons for glove-wearing in the fall and winter of 2020 — cold weather or COVID-19.
True the Vote’s researcher claimed in the movie that voters in Georgia started wearing gloves to prevent their fingerprints from touching ballot envelopes after two women in Yuma, Arizona, were indicted on Dec. 23, 2020 for alleged ballot harvesting in that state’s primary election. But the Arizona indictment didn’t mention anything about fingerprints.
Voting in Georgia’s Jan. 5, 2021, Senate runoff election occurred during some of the coldest weeks of the year in the state, and when COVID-19 was surging.
In fact, the AP in 2020 documented multiple examples of COVID-cautious voters wearing latex gloves and other personal protective equipment to vote.
In a similarly speculative allegation, the film claims its supposed “mules” took photographs of ballots before they dropped them into drop boxes in order to get paid. But across the U.S., voters frequently take photos of their ballot envelopes before submitting them.
This claim that it was cold, so they were wearing gloves, doesn't account for them being surgical gloves, which offer little to no warmth. That would be a silly argument to make. Also, the claim was that when they watched the video, from before the time, they noticed a huge uptick in these rubber gloves being worn. Also, you wouldn't discard the rubber gloves immediately after putting the ballots into the drop-box.
If your argument is that it's because of covid, then you would have also seen large amounts of people using them the entire time, not just after a particular date. That is unless the gloves weren't available for whatever reason prior.
Also, that last part, where they took pictures of their ballot envelopes before submitting them for their social media posts. Sure, their are lots of people that do that, but they aren't doing that for multiple ballot drop offs in multiple drop-boxes. You wouldn't want to advertise that you dropped 100s of them off, which would be illegal, unless you were authorized to do so for a nursing home or such.
One or two examples doesn't debunk all of them, just like one or two examples doesn't prove massive fraud either.