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Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 8:54 am
by Superbone
In2ition wrote:
Tue Jul 02, 2024 7:13 am
Do you think that he got a brain worm from eating dog?
Who knows?

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 10:26 am
by Mori Chu
Some more poll data. Biden's people have been arguing that Biden polls just as well as other candidates, so it's best for him to remain the nominee. But IMO if the other candidates poll just as well, isn't that argument that it won't harm anything to switch to a (younger and more capable) nominee?

I think Kamala would be the least bad alternative choice to consider at this point. A neat twist would be to have Biden not only exit the campaign but also resign as President (!) before November, making Kamala Harris the first woman President in US history. Not elected, sure, but it'd still be an amazing milestone for the country. Then the ticket could be Harris-Newsom, with Gavin set up to follow and run next for the Dems in 2028 or 2032. No way this will happen, but, Joe likely can't do the job for the next 4-5 years.


Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 10:41 am
by virtual9mm
Mori Chu wrote:
Tue Jul 02, 2024 10:26 am
Some more poll data. Biden's people have been arguing that Biden polls just as well as other candidates, so it's best for him to remain the nominee. But IMO if the other candidates poll just as well, isn't that argument that it won't harm anything to switch to a (younger and more capable) nominee?

I think Kamala would be the least bad alternative choice to consider at this point. A neat twist would be to have Biden not only exit the campaign but also resign as President (!) before November, making Kamala Harris the first woman President in US history. Not elected, sure, but it'd still be an amazing milestone for the country. Then the ticket could be Harris-Newsom, with Gavin set up to follow and run next for the Dems in 2028 or 2032. No way this will happen, but, Joe likely can't do the job for the next 4-5 years.

Given that Kamala would be the only one with access to 300 million USD already raised, it will almost surely have to be a Harris-Newsom ticket.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 10:50 am
by Superbone
I wouldn't mind Harris at all. I just wonder if our country is non-racist/non-misogynous enough to elect her. And it's very sad that I think that may be a high probability. I think it hurt Hillary Clinton and she didn't even have the race issue. Strong men are seen as leaders while strong women are seen as bitches. Before Trump, I may have believed it would be possible but the Trump years opened my eyes and hurt my heart to find out that we hadn't progressed as much as a country in these areas as I thought we had.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 10:52 am
by In2ition
I don't think that the DNC wants Kamala, as she comes off as dumb as a box of rocks. How many times do we have to hear, "what can be...unburdened by what has been"? Or her rants about something(a word) that she then needs to say 15 times in the same paragraph about the paragraph to make the paragraph make sense to the person reading the paragraph and thinking about the paragraph or hearing the paragraph and how it fits in the paragraph to create another paragraph?

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 11:06 am
by Mori Chu
In2ition wrote:
Tue Jul 02, 2024 10:52 am
I don't think that the DNC wants Kamala, as she comes off as dumb as a box of rocks. How many times do we have to hear, "what can be...unburdened by what has been"? Or her rants about something(a word) that she then needs to say 15 times in the same paragraph about the paragraph to make the paragraph make sense to the person reading the paragraph and thinking about the paragraph or hearing the paragraph and how it fits in the paragraph to create another paragraph?
You've posted that clip of her saying that repeatedly. But it's a slogan, a mantra, something meant to be repeated. She knows she's repeating it. The fact that she is repeating is not evidence of her being stupid. Trump repeats slogans and phrases all the time. You just don't like her, and you don't like her slogan. (I also think it's a cheesy phrase, but I don't think it shows any evidence of her intellect one way or the other.)

You think she's "as dumb as a box of rocks" because you've seen hours and hours of negatively slanted media about her. And because she's an evil Democrat. And, frankly, because you probably have some biases. But I think that's a deep-seeded problem that much of the country has. Many many people just view women differently and judge them on different criteria than they do men. And the race part doesn't help her either in terms of how she's judged.

My criticism of Kamala is that she seems phony. Too many times I've seen her take a position on an issue, and then find out that the polling favored the other position, and then switch her position. She did this on health care as one big example. She strikes me as a politician who is not guided by deep principles but rather just wants to try to say the "right" or "popular" thing to help herself win a race or campaign. I have also read articles indicating that her 2020 campaign was disorganized and haphazard, which is probably part of why it fell apart. She may have learned lessons from that time, but who knows?

Being VP has probably been good for her political senses, but I don't know that with certainty. The VP is such a nebulous role, and it's easy for a VP to kind of fade into the background. I haven't seen her do a ton of interesting things as VP. I would support her as the nominee, though I think a (non-senile) Biden would be a better President than her. I do like Kamala more than some of the other candidates such as Klobuchar, Whitmer, etc.

In a normal race, I would favor Newsom as the nominee, the best mix of reasonable policy, optics / retail political ability, and electability. I also like Buttigieg and a few others. Long-term I would support an AOC Presidential run (my hot take is that AOC is a -spectacular- politician and leader), but I don't think she'll be ready for that for a while.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 11:51 am
by Superbone
In2ition wrote:
Tue Jul 02, 2024 10:52 am
I don't think that the DNC wants Kamala, as she comes off as dumb as a box of rocks.
Stay classy.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 11:56 am
by Mori Chu
I hadn't heard about this allegation that RFK assaulted his babysitter. He refuses to comment on it when asked, though he does say that he's not a "church boy" and that there are a lot of "skeletons in (his) closet." Which seems to me like an admission that it's at least partly true?


Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 12:01 pm
by Mori Chu
Some alleged Dem internal polling has leaked. Doesn't look good.


Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 12:05 pm
by In2ition
Mori Chu wrote:
Tue Jul 02, 2024 11:06 am
In2ition wrote:
Tue Jul 02, 2024 10:52 am
I don't think that the DNC wants Kamala, as she comes off as dumb as a box of rocks. How many times do we have to hear, "what can be...unburdened by what has been"? Or her rants about something(a word) that she then needs to say 15 times in the same paragraph about the paragraph to make the paragraph make sense to the person reading the paragraph and thinking about the paragraph or hearing the paragraph and how it fits in the paragraph to create another paragraph?
You've posted that clip of her saying that repeatedly. But it's a slogan, a mantra, something meant to be repeated. She knows she's repeating it. The fact that she is repeating is not evidence of her being stupid. Trump repeats slogans and phrases all the time. You just don't like her, and you don't like her slogan. (I also think it's a cheesy phrase, but I don't think it shows any evidence of her intellect one way or the other.)

You think she's "as dumb as a box of rocks" because you've seen hours and hours of negatively slanted media about her. And because she's an evil Democrat. And, frankly, because you probably have some biases. But I think that's a deep-seeded problem that much of the country has. Many many people just view women differently and judge them on different criteria than they do men. And the race part doesn't help her either in terms of how she's judged.

My criticism of Kamala is that she seems phony. Too many times I've seen her take a position on an issue, and then find out that the polling favored the other position, and then switch her position. She did this on health care as one big example. She strikes me as a politician who is not guided by deep principles but rather just wants to try to say the "right" or "popular" thing to help herself win a race or campaign. I have also read articles indicating that her 2020 campaign was disorganized and haphazard, which is probably part of why it fell apart. She may have learned lessons from that time, but who knows?

Being VP has probably been good for her political senses, but I don't know that with certainty. The VP is such a nebulous role, and it's easy for a VP to kind of fade into the background. I haven't seen her do a ton of interesting things as VP. I would support her as the nominee, though I think a (non-senile) Biden would be a better President than her. I do like Kamala more than some of the other candidates such as Klobuchar, Whitmer, etc.

In a normal race, I would favor Newsom as the nominee, the best mix of reasonable policy, optics / retail political ability, and electability. I also like Buttigieg and a few others. Long-term I would support an AOC Presidential run (my hot take is that AOC is a -spectacular- politician and leader), but I don't think she'll be ready for that for a while.
Hold up. I don't think she's necessarily evil, so don't put that on me. Even though, she did put a lot of people away while ignoring the Brady doctrine and openly defied U.S. Supreme Court orders to reduce overcrowding in California prisons while serving as the state’s attorney general.

Bring on Newsom. Good looking guy and talks like the devil, but his record is atrocious and filled with hypocrisies and tragedies of what has happened to California during his leadership.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 12:07 pm
by In2ition
Superbone wrote:
Tue Jul 02, 2024 11:51 am
In2ition wrote:
Tue Jul 02, 2024 10:52 am
I don't think that the DNC wants Kamala, as she comes off as dumb as a box of rocks.
Stay classy.
I could have said worse. I didn't disparage anyone here. I think you along with nearly everyone else here are smarter than Kamala Harris.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 12:13 pm
by Nodack
She must be dumb. Everyone knows it is super easy to become a female lawyer and make it all the way to become the Attorney General of California then become a US Senator and then VP of the US. What an awefull role model for young girls.

At least Maga children have Trump to look up to, who embodies all the things the Ten Commandments stand for. Sexual assault, tax evasion, extortion, lying, cheating, coveting neighbors wives. A real stable genius. All the things that makes America great.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 12:27 pm
by In2ition
It would be interesting if you can find any speech she's made that helps her come off as a deep thinker.

You have to respect her for the level of offices she's attained. I think if you look only surface deep, she is a good role model for young people, not just little girls. I happen to be one that doesn't think it's harder/impossible for women to attain levels of leadership though. It seems that you must though.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 12:37 pm
by Superbone
Mori Chu wrote:
Tue Jul 02, 2024 7:00 am
Ew. RFK ate dog meat, and took a silly photo about to chomp on a cooked dog carcass.
► Show Spoiler
I shared this with one of my sons who has shown interest in RFK and he replied with this:


Hey
@VanityFair
, you know when your veterinary experts call a goat a dog, and your forensic experts say a photo taken in Patagonia was taken in Korea, that you’ve joined the ranks of supermarket tabloids. Keep telling America that up is down if you want. I’ll keep talking about the fact that working families can’t afford houses or groceries because our last two presidents went on a $14 trillion debt joyride, paid for by hard-working Americans.

The DNC media’s garbage pail journalism may distract us from President Biden’s cognitive deficits but it does little to elevate the national debate or reduce the price of groceries.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Tue Jul 02, 2024 1:37 pm
by Nodack
Both parties have attacked RFK relentlessly almost as if he was Musk. I am almost indifferent to RFK but, I recognize a hit piece when I see it.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Wed Jul 03, 2024 8:41 am
by Mori Chu
New CBS poll doesn't show much movement post debate. A big NYT/ Siena poll is also due out today.


Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Wed Jul 03, 2024 8:49 am
by Superbone
Maybe it's not much but it's in the wrong direction. Enough to destroy democracy as we know it. It's a fine line.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Wed Jul 03, 2024 10:11 am
by Mori Chu
Two things:

- Biden has made almost zero appearances since the debate disaster. Almost any other candidate who had a really bad night like that would make a bunch of appearances to try to bury it, to show he's fine and vibrant, to calm everyone's fears. That Biden has essentially hidden himself from public view is concerning.

- Kamala's poll numbers are very close to Biden's, but, Biden's numbers are likely trending downward (the full polling effect of a major event usually takes 1-2 weeks to show up) while Kamala's arguably have some room to go up (because she can campaign, reintroduce herself to voters, improve people's impression of her, etc.). So I think Kamala is still the smart pick.

Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Wed Jul 03, 2024 10:17 am
by Mori Chu
Good article from Mehdi Hasan arguing that Joe Biden should step aside in favor of Kamala Harris.


Re: 2024 Election

Posted: Wed Jul 03, 2024 12:05 pm
by Mori Chu
The NYT/Siena poll is out. It has Biden down by 6 points, down by 9 among likely voters. These are bad numbers for Joe.