Ring_Wanted wrote:The closer to the draft, the more valuable picks turn, and in the offseason you can't take advantage of teams desperatedly trying to make the playoffs. Besides, once the season is over the NBA becomes a way wider and unpredictable maket.
Anyway, the team needed to move on from this stupid saga and it is a relief it's finally been done. After demanding a trade, Kieff should have neved made the opening roster but that's water under the bridge now.
McD was asked in his most recent interview on AZSports whether we could have gotten this deal for Keef during the summer. He said no. So we decided to wait in order to get a (pretty good) return on him. That decision hurt our brand more than our season, because without Keef, assuming the injuries happen anyway (though a butterfly flaps its wings...), we were going to lose games this year.
As for the value of picks, it's my impression that their value comes in waves. Distant picks have less value than upcoming picks for reasons that mirror the time value of money. But as you approach the draft, scouts' perception of its quality affect the value of the picks, and they can go up or down as it gets closer. Nearing draft day, I feel that lotto picks increase in value and lower picks stay flat, and then on draft day, as reality sets in, lower picks start to decline in value as reality sets in. And as soon as you draft players, they, like cars, generally decrease pretty substantially in value almost immediately. Case in point - almost everyone agrees that Winslow's had a good rookie year, but who thinks the Heat could get 4 first rounders for him? With new players, like new cars, dreaming is usually more alluring than reality. By comparison, Booker and Turner could probably be exchanged for more today than on draft night. Oubre was traded for Hardaway, Jr. The point is, the value of picks is dynamic and time-sensitive. The only way to win that game is to draft the right player, which is easier said than done.
