Really good post here.INFORMER wrote: ↑Tue Jun 12, 2018 9:58 pmI think the no-brainer narrative surrounding Ayton contradicts what the analysts have to stay with about some of the other prospects. Take the mock draft special on ESPN. Mike Schmitz essentially says you have to take Ayton, but then you hear him talk about some of the other top prospects and I can't help but think, "wait, if what you're saying is true about these prospects, how on earth can Ayton be a no-brainer?"
And let's be clear: after Steph Curry wowed in the Warriors 60 gazillion win season, there was a strong contingent, and I mean STRONG, saying that you needed to draft D'Angelo Russell first over Karl-Anthony Towns, because small guards are the difference-maker now. I wasn't on that boat.
So I am not just coming from the angle of "big men don't matter" blah, blah, blah; I am just talking about what matters most to winning basketball: Doncic's skillset meets that criteria better than Ayton. I see Ayton like the Nash-less Suns, circa 2003-04: talented, but ultimately just guys getting numbers and not winning at a high level. I think Doncic can an effect on this team the way Nash did in 2004.
I find Ayton's ceiling as similar of what you described. A big man putting up phenomenal stats but no wins. Like Kevin Love in Minnesota.