OK, so here was our record last year in those groups.Split T wrote: ↑Tue Sep 10, 2019 2:25 pmIt’s very easy to just write off the suns. We’ve been terrible for awhile, no one, besides us, is gonna question someone who just assumes we’re only winning 25 games. The west did get stronger, but I don’t think by that much.
Lakers, clippers, Jazz, pelicans - stronger
Nuggets, blazers, Rockets, Spurs, Kings, Mavs, wolves - relatively the same
Warriors, thunder, grizz - worse
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Stronger (Lakers, Clippers, Jazz, Pels)
3-13
Let's be optimistic and say we don't lose ground against the teams that improved this year
+0
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Same (Nuggets, blazers, Rockets, Spurs, Kings, Mavs, wolves)
6-19
Again, being optimistic, say we increase our wins here by 33% against teams that didn't get worse.
+2
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Worse (Warriors, Thunder, Grizz)
2-9
Assume we split with GSW, OKC, and sweep Memphis--all optimistic
+5
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That gives us 18-33 in the West
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Now, our record against the east last year was 8-22.
Even assuming we win twice as many games against the East this year, that puts us at 16-14.
+8
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In this extremely optimistic scenario, we win 34 games, which likely still puts us as last (or close to it) in the West.