The GOP / RNC
Re: The RNC
Despite how awful those first few tweets are, the quote by an admin official is unforgivable. I am sure there have been plenty of election people that think civil unrest might help their candidate, but you don't say out loud and on the record that more violence in America is good for your candidate.
Re: The RNC
Cool. License to kill. We can all go out in the streets and start shooting each other.Mori Chu wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 8:09 amThe best I can tell today is that the GOP is settling on defending the 17-year-old murderer who blew protestors away in Kenosha the other day. They're saying it was self-defense and that somebody had to maintain law and order when the city/police wouldn't. Oof.
"Too little, too late, too unbothered."
- Phoenix Suns 2023-2024 season motto.
"Be Legendary."
- Phoenix Suns 2023-2024 season motto.
"Be Legendary."
Re: The RNC
* "we" = whites / policeSuperbone wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 10:11 amCool. License to kill. We* can all go out in the streets and start shooting each other**.Mori Chu wrote: ↑Thu Aug 27, 2020 8:09 amThe best I can tell today is that the GOP is settling on defending the 17-year-old murderer who blew protestors away in Kenosha the other day. They're saying it was self-defense and that somebody had to maintain law and order when the city/police wouldn't. Oof.
** "each other" = blacks / protestors
Re: The RNC
Nailed it.
"Too little, too late, too unbothered."
- Phoenix Suns 2023-2024 season motto.
"Be Legendary."
- Phoenix Suns 2023-2024 season motto.
"Be Legendary."
Re: The RNC
I don't know how anyone can claim any equivalency between the two parties in terms of lying, so if you have to trust one more than the other based on their relative lack of lying, it isn't the R's.
Re: The RNC
How do you know Trump is lying? His lips are moving.
"Too little, too late, too unbothered."
- Phoenix Suns 2023-2024 season motto.
"Be Legendary."
- Phoenix Suns 2023-2024 season motto.
"Be Legendary."
Re: The RNC
This is the general view from my UK-heavy twitter feed (so take it for what it's worth, if I even need to say it - although UK betting sites have it nearly neck and neck):
Re: The RNC
Trump and the Rs can't win a fair election. They know it, that's why they're doing all they can to rig it. They won't even need Russia's help this time.
Re: The RNC
I’m saying you’re too dubious .. Biden is senile, Harris is smug and that’s enough right there for Trump to get re-elected.
These odds assume no cheating, and from most accounts your elections will be more or less be fair:
Re: The RNC
I am not sure there has ever been a more smug candidate than Trump. Seems strange to describe Harris that way.
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Perspective is relative
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(I think KH is great, it’s not my perspective I’m worried about)
Re: The RNC
I don't know how much it matters what prediction / betting sites think. If you care about such things, Predict-it has Biden/Trump at a 57/47 bet.
https://www.predictit.org/
I am much more interested in polls than betting sites. Biden has consistently been up by 7-9 points in the polls. I realize that Hillary Clinton had a fairly similar lead in 2016, but there are much fewer undecided voters than Clinton had in 2016. I think Clinton/Trump was something like 45 to 38% lead with 17-18% undecided; that is a ton of people who hadn't yet made up their minds. Biden/Trump today is something like 51/42 with 6-7% undecided. The lead margin is very similar but the difference is immense. Also, many polls show a strong majority of voters are strongly opposed to voting for Donald Trump, indicating that they would not "flip" to him for any reason.
I think Biden is in excellent position to win, unless Trump literally cheats in the election by doing things like throwing out all mail-in ballots or stationing ICE gestapo at polling places to scare away minorities.
https://www.predictit.org/
I am much more interested in polls than betting sites. Biden has consistently been up by 7-9 points in the polls. I realize that Hillary Clinton had a fairly similar lead in 2016, but there are much fewer undecided voters than Clinton had in 2016. I think Clinton/Trump was something like 45 to 38% lead with 17-18% undecided; that is a ton of people who hadn't yet made up their minds. Biden/Trump today is something like 51/42 with 6-7% undecided. The lead margin is very similar but the difference is immense. Also, many polls show a strong majority of voters are strongly opposed to voting for Donald Trump, indicating that they would not "flip" to him for any reason.
I think Biden is in excellent position to win, unless Trump literally cheats in the election by doing things like throwing out all mail-in ballots or stationing ICE gestapo at polling places to scare away minorities.
Re: The RNC
Polls are asking people to tell you what they think (and so many of the polls are robo-calls so they can only call land lines). Betting sites are putting their money on the line to get it right. I think they are usually more accurate (though I should probably look at the lines for the last few elections to confirm that).
Re: The RNC
It must have been the beer talking but I have no faith this will be a clean election (I read a couple of WP articles suggesting as much) so I agree with you on this entirely.
Re: The RNC
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elect ... president/ is a better overview of the betting markets. 51-49.Mori Chu wrote: ↑Fri Aug 28, 2020 8:16 amI don't know how much it matters what prediction / betting sites think. If you care about such things, Predict-it has Biden/Trump at a 57/47 bet.
https://www.predictit.org/