NBA Over/Under Competition

[Split T]

Mori asked for it, so here it is. Lets set some rules. Each person can make 10 picks(5 in the west and 5 in the east). In addition, you have to choose 2 locks per conference that count as double. We'll track it and see who wins at the end of the season. Scoring is simple, -2 for a lock that you miss, -1 for a miss, 1 for getting it right, 2 for getting a lock right. We will use the fan duel win totals as of today 10/19. I'll post them below and I'll keep track throughout the year. Submit your picks before the start of the regular season. You can update your picks up until tip off on opening night. Here we go:

West:

Oklahoma City Thunder 57.5
Minnesota Timberwolves 51.5
Denver Nuggets 50.5
Phoenix Suns 48.5
Dallas Mavericks 48.5
Memphis Grizzlies 46.5
Sacramento Kings 46.5
New Orleans Pelicans 45.5
Golden State 43.5
Houston Rockets 42.5
Los Angeles Lakers 42.5
San Antonio Spurs 35.5
Los Angeles Clippers 35.5
Utah Jazz 27.5
Portland Trailblazers 20.5

East:

Boston Celtics 58.5
New York Knicks 53.5
Philadelphia 76ers 50.5
Milwaukee Bucks 49.5
Cleveland Cavs 48.5
Orlando Magic 47.5
Indiana Pacers 46.5
Miami Heat 43.5
Atlanta Hawks 36.5
Charlotte Hornets 30.5
Toronto Raptors 29.5
Chicago Bulls 28.5
Detroit Pistons 25.5
Washington Wizards 19.5
Brooklyn Nets 19.5

[Split T]

I'm going(Locks in bold):

West:
Wolves under 51.5
Suns over 48.5
Grizzlies over 46.5
Kings under 46.5
Spurs over 35.5

East:

Knicks under 53.5
76ers over 50.5
Pacers over 46.5
Pistons over 25.5
Nets under 19.5

[The Bobster]

West:

Oklahoma City Thunder 57.5 - Under - Lock
Denver Nuggets 50.5 - Under
Phoenix Suns 48.5 - Over
Memphis Grizzlies 46.5 - Over - Lock
Los Angeles Lakers 42.5 - Over

East:

Boston Celtics 58.5 - Under
Philadelphia 76ers 50.5 - Under - Lock
Milwaukee Bucks 49.5 - Over
Indiana Pacers 46.5 - Over
Miami Heat 43.5 - Over - Lock

[Split T]

Anybody else want in?

[Superbone]

Anybody else want in?

I'll get in later today. Remind Bobster of the rules.

[Carno]

Locks in Bold

West:
Denver Nuggets 50.5 - Under
Phoenix Suns 48.5 - Over
Golden State 43.5 - Under
Los Angeles Lakers 42.5 - Under
Utah Jazz 27.5 - Under

East:
New York Knicks 53.5 - Over
Philadelphia 76ers 50.5 - Under
Cleveland Cavs 48.5 - Under
Indiana Pacers 46.5 - Under
Detroit Pistons 25.5 - Over

[The Bobster]

Anybody else want in?

I'll get in later today. Remind Bobster of the rules.

I'm locked in now!

[SunsRIt]

West:

Thunder 57.5 Under
Wolves 51.5 Over
Suns 48.5 Over - Lock
Spurs 35.5 Over - Lock
Blazers 20.5 Over

East:

Celtics 58.5 Under
Knicks 53.5 Over - Lock
76ers 50.5 Under
Heat 43.5 Over - Lock
Hawks 36.5 Over

[Kryptonic]

West:

Minnesota Timberwolves 51.5 - Under
Denver Nuggets 50.5 - Under
Phoenix Suns 48.5 - Over
Houston Rockets 42.5 - Over
Los Angeles Lakers 42.5 - Over

East:

Boston Celtics 58.5 - Over
New York Knicks 53.5 - Over
Milwaukee Bucks 49.5 - Under
Indiana Pacers 46.5 - Over
Chicago Bulls 28.5 - Over

[rhylek]

West:

Phoenix Suns 48.5 - Over
New Orleans Pelicans 45.5 - Under
Houston Rockets 42.5 - Over
Los Angeles Clippers 35.5 - Under
Portland Trailblazers 20.5 - Over

East:

New York Knicks 53.5 - Under
Philadelphia 76ers 50.5 - Under
Cleveland Cavs 48.5 - Under
Chicago Bulls 28.5 - Over
Detroit Pistons 25.5 - Over

[Mori Chu]

Thanks for making this thread. Here are my own picks:

West:

Oklahoma City Thunder 57.5 - Over
Dallas Mavericks 48.5 - Over (Lock)
New Orleans Pelicans 45.5 - Under (Lock)
Golden State 43.5 - Under
Utah Jazz 27.5 - Under

East:

Philadelphia 76ers 50.5 - Under
Milwaukee Bucks 49.5 - Under
Cleveland Cavs 48.5 - Over
Indiana Pacers 46.5 - Over (Lock)
Toronto Raptors 29.5 - Under (Lock)

Overall I think a lot of the old guard of good teams are going to fall this season, like the Warriors, Lakers, Sixers, Bucks. These younger and hungrier teams like OKC, Minny, Cleveland, Indiana, etc. are going to run wild this year. I also really like this is a comeback year for the Grizzlies with Ja and Edey, but I couldn't get there with that 46.5 line. I didn't list our Suns to avoid bad karma, but I think we'll go "over" as well and have a strong season.

[Superbone]

West:

Denver Nuggets 50.5 OVER
Phoenix Suns 48.5 OVER
Los Angeles Lakers 42.5 OVER
Los Angeles Clippers 35.5 OVER
Utah Jazz 27.5 OVER

East:

New York Knicks 53.5 OVER
Orlando Magic 47.5 UNDER
Miami Heat 43.5 OVER
Charlotte Hornets 30.5 UNDER
Toronto Raptors 29.5 OVER

Man, I really struggled with the East. I feel strongly that the Suns will outperform last season. In fact, as soon as I post this, I'm going to go bet that one for real.

[Gladiator]

For what it’s worth here are my late entries. I think injuries are going to play a big part this year and having depth to cover. (Also late season shenanigans will come into play for many teams positioning for draft picks)

west
New Orleans 49.5 under lock
Sacramento 46.5 under
Dallas 48.5 over lock
San Antonio 35.5 over
LA clippers 35.5 under

East
Philadelphia 50.5 under lock
Milwaukee 48.5 under
Cleveland 48.5 over lock
Detroit 25.5 over
Brooklyn 19.5 under

Edit: updated to be 5 from each conference

[Superbone]

For what it’s worth here are my late entries.

They're not late until the first game starts in 3 minutes from now.

[Mori Chu]

Philadelphia 76ers 50.5 - Under

Chef's kiss

[Uncle_Gene]

Paul George I can understand. Joel Embiid I believe has an arthritic problem that will last for the rest of his career.

[Superbone]

I genuinely didn’t remember that George is no longer on the Clippers. Doesn’t bode well for my picks.

[Mori Chu]

Thanks for making this thread. Here are my own picks:

West:

Oklahoma City Thunder 57.5 - Over
Dallas Mavericks 48.5 - Over (Lock)
New Orleans Pelicans 45.5 - Under (Lock)
Golden State 43.5 - Under
Utah Jazz 27.5 - Under

East:

Philadelphia 76ers 50.5 - Under
Milwaukee Bucks 49.5 - Under
Cleveland Cavs 48.5 - Over
Indiana Pacers 46.5 - Over (Lock)
Toronto Raptors 29.5 - Under (Lock)

Overall I think a lot of the old guard of good teams are going to fall this season, like the Warriors, Lakers, Sixers, Bucks. These younger and hungrier teams like OKC, Minny, Cleveland, Indiana, etc. are going to run wild this year. I also really like this is a comeback year for the Grizzlies with Ja and Edey, but I couldn't get there with that 46.5 line. I didn't list our Suns to avoid bad karma, but I think we'll go "over" as well and have a strong season.

Just checking in on my picks for the over/unders so far. I like all of my West picks except maybe the Warriors, who look better than I had predicted. In the East I love my Philly pick (hah) and my Cleveland pick (should have made that one a lock). Looks like I'm likely wrong about the Pacers. Unclear on the Bucks, who have had some struggles but look much better in their past few games.

https://www.espn.com/nba/standings

[Split T]

Here’s where we are at so far with team over/unders:

7 teams have already hit their over: Cavs, Pistons, Bulls, Nets, Rockets, Clippers, Blazers

6 teams have locked in at under: Pelicans, Suns, Mavs, 76ers, Heat, Magic

4 teams I consider all but locks to hit their over with record needed:

Lakers: 1-14
Thunder: 2-12
Grizzlies: 4-9
Warriors: 5-9

Teams all but guaranteed to go under, with record needed to hit over:

Jazz: 13-0
Wolves: 12-0
Hornets: 14-1
Kings: 13-2

Here’s the rest that are still up in the air, with record needed:

Bucks: 12-3
Knicks: 11-4
Celtics: 10-4
Pacers: 9-6
Spurs: 8-7
Nuggets: 7-6
Raptors: 6-7
Hawks: 5-9
Wizards: 5-10

I’d lean towards Nuggets, Pacers, and Celtics getting their overs. Raptors, Spurs, and Bucks go under. Wizards, Hawks, and Knicks are toss-ups to me.

[SunsRIt]

Here’s where we are at so far with team over/unders:

7 teams have already hit their over: Cavs, Pistons, Bulls, Nets, Rockets, Clippers, Blazers

6 teams have locked in at under: Pelicans, Suns, Mavs, 76ers, Heat, Magic

4 teams I consider all but locks to hit their over with record needed:

Lakers: 1-14
Thunder: 2-12
Grizzlies: 4-9
Warriors: 5-9

Teams all but guaranteed to go under, with record needed to hit over:

Jazz: 13-0
Wolves: 12-0
Hornets: 14-1
Kings: 13-2

Here’s the rest that are still up in the air, with record needed:

Bucks: 12-3
Knicks: 11-4
Celtics: 10-4
Pacers: 9-6
Spurs: 8-7
Nuggets: 7-6
Raptors: 6-7
Hawks: 5-9
Wizards: 5-10

I’d lean towards Nuggets, Pacers, and Celtics getting their overs. Raptors, Spurs, and Bucks go under. Wizards, Hawks, and Knicks are toss-ups to me.

Thanks Split!